某型轰炸设备虚拟训练系统设计与实现

虚拟训练系统在场地、费效比、训练效果等方面具有明显的优势。设计了某型机载轰炸设备的虚拟训练系统,阐明了系统实现的关键技术,并实现了该系统。系统在对航空炸弹弹道模型进行解算的基础上,通过对座舱环境、轰炸设备和轰炸视景进行模拟和仿真,能够提供逼真的人机交互界面,从而达到帮助受训人员掌握轰炸程序,提高轰炸设备使用能力的目的。     

某型飞机采用DCCIP方式投放炸弹的精度分析

分析了影响DCCIP攻击方式轰炸精度的各种误差源,针对某型飞机平显火控系统的不同组合方式,建立了相应的精度分析数学模型,采用定型试飞数据,仿真计算了各种组合方式下的水平DCCIP轰炸精度.仿真计算结果与定型靶试数据吻合,在某型飞机平显火控系统的靶试的定型中得到了实际应用.     

Dying to prove a point: The methodology of Dying to Win

Dying to Win is one of the most important works on suicide terrorism. It purports to unravel the strategic, social, and individual logic that gives suicide terrorism its coercive value. The methodology that Pape uses to support his various assertions is problematic for three reasons. First, he defines his key terms in such a way as to artificially set suicide terrorism apart from other forms of political violence. Second, in a number of cases Pape selects data from single sources to support particular assertions when other sources of data, used together, could provide more rigorous and useful insights into the phenomenon of suicide bombing. Finally, Pape codes his data on suicide attacks according to a loose set of criteria which, if recoded, calls into question some of his broader conclusions about the strategic utility of suicide terrorism campaigns.     

两种轰炸弹道快速积分算法的比较

利用数学仿真,测试了两种轰炸弹道快速积分方法：中国湖算法和极坐标算法,后者是西北工业大学（ＮＰＵ）开发的。对某型航弹的弹道诸元解算的结果表明,无论是精度还是实时计算量,后者都优于前者甚多。     

Contrasting the Impacts of Combat and Humanitarian Assistance/Disaster Relief Missions on the Mental Health of Military Service Members

Abstract

We study the differential impacts of combat and humanitarian assistance/disaster relief (HA/DR) missions on the mental health of U.S. Marine Corps members. The deployment experiences of any individual Marine are plausibly random conditional on the observable characteristics which are used to assign Marines into units. Leveraging this exogenous variation, we compare the incidence of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and suicide deaths among Marines who deployed to either Operation Enduring Freedom/Operation Iraqi Freedom (OEF/OIF) or HA/DR missions between 2001 and 2011. We find that the hazard of PTSD is close to eight times higher among Marines returning from OEF/OIF compared to those never deployed, and just 1.33 times higher among those returning from HA/DR (and never participated in OEF/OIF). Those returning from OEF/OIF missions are 1.81 times more likely than those never deployed to die by suicide when they were still active duty, and the hazard increases to almost 3 after they have left the military. In contrast, we find no difference in the hazards of suicide death between those that deployed to only HA/DR missions and non-deployed Marines.     

Weakest‐link attacker‐defender games with multiple attack technologies

In this article, we examine a model of terrorism that focuses on the tradeoffs facing a terrorist organization that has two qualitatively different attack modes at its disposal. The terrorist organization's objective is to successfully attack at least one target. Success for the target government is defined as defending all targets from any and all attacks. In this context, we examine how terrorist entities strategically utilize an efficient but discrete attack technology — e.g., suicide attacks — when a more conventional mode of attack is available, and the optimal anti‐terrorism measures.© 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

通信时延对无人作战飞机NWL轰炸精度影响研究

无人作战飞机具有飞行器与指挥平台"空地分离"的技术特征,源自飞行员的战术决策指令须通过战术数据链传输给飞机,该特性在空地轰炸模式下将对系统作战效能产生一定的影响。建立了面向无人作战飞机的空地一体化机翼非水平(NWL,Non-Wing-Level)轰炸仿真模型,通过Monte-Carlo仿真表明脱靶量与数据链时延之间存在线性关系,采用Kalman滤波可以克服时延对脱靶量的影响,并提高命中精度。     

Decapitation,disruption, and unintended consequences in counterterrorism: lessons from Islamist terror networks in Spain

This study examines the unintended consequences of decapitation strategies. Two Islamist terror networks in Spain have been used to critically evaluate theories of leadership removal guided by large-N cross-sectional research. Arguably, current models neglect to include relational variables that constitute the foundation for policies of network disruption. Spanish terror networks are mapped out over a 10-year period (1995–2004) to demonstrate the importance of network variables. Policies meant to disrupt militant networks can generate unintended consequences, as was the case with Spain’s Operation Dátil following the 9/11 attacks on the Twin Towers and the Pentagon in the United States. The Madrid train bombing network developed in the vacant political space following the counterterrorism operation that targeted radical Islamists in Spain.     

基于SAR的远程精确打击应用

利用SAR(合成孔径雷达)探测识别并将目标定位,将目标的位置信息送给制导炸弹,通过制导炸弹精确打击目标,实现防区外精确打击或战略轰炸是远程轰炸的发展趋势。对联合直接攻击弹药(JDAM)的研发情况进行了描述,结合当前SAR的发展状况,对采用SAR图像进行目标识别定位,通过制导武器进行防区外武器投放精确打击地面固定目标探讨,提出了基于SAR进行制导武器投放控制的一种思路。     

How durable is the nuclear weapons taboo?

The nuclear weapons taboo is considered one of the strongest norms in international politics. A prohibition against using nuclear weapons has seemingly shaped state behavior for nearly seven decades and, according to some observers, made nuclear use ‘unthinkable’ today or in the future. Although scholars have shown that nuclear aversion has affected decision-making behavior, important questions about the nuclear taboo remain unanswered. This article seeks to answer a basic question: How durable is the taboo? We develop different predictions about norm durability depending on whether the taboo is based primarily on moral logic or strategic logic. We use the comparable case of the norm against strategic bombing in the 20th century to evaluate these hypotheses. The logic and evidence presented in this paper suggest that the norm of nuclear non-use is much more fragile than most analysts understand.